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Euro analysis 17.12.2020

The single currency, the euro, fluctuated in a narrow, upward range during the Asian session, to witness its highest since April 25, 2018 against the US dollar on the cusp of economic developments and data expected today, Thursday, by the economies of the euro area and the US economy, the largest economy in the world, and amid the market's aspiration for the approval of legislators Americans to stimulate new finances.

At exactly 06:18 am GMT, the euro pair rose against the US dollar by 0.22% to 1.2227 levels compared to opening levels at 1.2200, after the pair achieved its highest level in more than two and a half years at 1.2235, while the pair achieved its lowest level during trading The session is at 1.2219.

The markets are looking forward by the Euro-zone economies to reveal inflation data, with the release of the final annual consumer price index reading, which may confirm a contraction of 0.3%, unchanged from what it was in the initial reading for last month and the previous annual reading for last October, as well as The core annual reading of the same index may confirm 0.2% growth as well, unchanged from the previous annual reading.

On the other hand, the markets are looking forward to the developments of the ongoing talks between the European Union and Britain regarding the issue of Britain's exit from the European Union, especially with the approaching deadline by the end of this year, and we would like to point out that European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said yesterday that the European Union is moving closer to Britain is in order to reach an agreement, and it is not sure of the final results of the ongoing talks.

On the other hand, investors are currently awaiting the American economy for the release of the aid requests index reading for the past week, on December 12th, which may reflect a decrease of 36 thousand applications to 817 thousand applications compared to 853 thousand applications in the previous reading. Continuing for the past week, on the fifth of this month, a decrease of 159 thousand requests to 5,598 thousand requests compared to 5,757 thousand requests.

This comes in conjunction with the disclosure of housing market data, with the release of the housing starts index and the building permit index reading, and amid expectations that the building permits reading will reflect an increase to about 1.55 million permits, compared to about 1.54 million permits in October. Home start-ups were stable at around 1.53 million homes last November.

This also comes in conjunction with the disclosure by the largest industrial country in the world of industrial sector data, with the release of the Philadelphia Industrial Index reading, which may reflect a contraction of the expansion to a value of 20.1 compared to 26.3 in November. Otherwise, we followed a short while ago the end of the meeting. The Federal Open Market Committee December 15-16, during which interest rates were kept at an all-time low between zero and 0.25%.

In the same context, Fed Governor Jerome Powell yesterday, during the press conference held after the end of the Fed’s meeting, expressed the argument for a “very, very strong” financial stimulus, and it came amid markets looking for US lawmakers to adopt a new stimulus package to counter the negative repercussions of the severity of the outbreak The second wave of Corona virus in recent times.

Technical analysis

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The EUR / USD pair faced temporary negative pressure yesterday evening to attack 1.2145, but it quickly rebounded to settle at the 1.2200 barrier, noting that the price starts today with a new bullish tendency to confirm the continuation of the main bullish trend scenario, which targets 1.2300 as a next major station.

Thus, we await more incline during the coming sessions, supported by the EMA50, with a reminder of the importance of holding above 1.2145 to achieve the awaited targets.

The expected trading range for today is between 1.2145 support and 1.2300 resistance

The expected general trend for today: Bullish

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