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The fed reiterated its firm line about the monetary policy
 
European shares ended trading on Wednesday, in a green area for a meeting eurozone leaders on whether to allow the Spanish crisis. Investors continue to hope that the uncertainty around Spain will disappear. European markets rose, despite the ...
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The fed reiterated its firm line about the monetary policy
 
European shares ended trading on Wednesday, in a green area for a meeting eurozone leaders on whether to allow the Spanish crisis. Investors continue to hope that the uncertainty around Spain will disappear. European markets rose, despite the poor statistics from Germany. Business climate index (PMI) fell to 48.1 points from 49.2 points in September. The leaders were paper company SAP AG, Pump up 4.18%, which works in the field of software development.
Index DJ EURO STOXX BANK up to previous trading closed at 107.57 (+0.43%). Shares of Deutsche Bank, UniCredit, and Group NV rose from 0.67% to 1.16%.
 
Major European indexes at the close of the previous trading session: FTSE 100 - 5,804.78 (+0.12%); DAX 30 - 2,490.58 (+0.51%); CAC 40 - 3,426.49 (+0.59%). Futures on the DJ STOXX 50 in the morning prior to the opening of trading in Europe is 2,498.00 (+0.36%). Trading in Europe will open growth.
 
European index of "blue chips" FTSEurofirst 300 closed Wednesday at 1,093.71 (+0.46%).
 
Before the opening of the European session US yield on 10-year T-Note is 1.81% (+0.023 NCP), the 10-year German Government Bonds is 1.60% (+0.032 NCP), and the 10-year UK Government Bonds is 1.85% (+0.025 NCP).
 
Oil futures morning before the opening of the European trading session yesterday after growing up a slight reduction on the background data on oil and petroleum products in the United States. Crude oil inventories last week rose to 375,125 million barrels. Motor gasoline stocks rose by 1.4 million barrels, which is the lower limit of the average range for this time of year. Inventories of distillate fuels fell by 0.64 million barrels last week and are in the lower range for this time of year. Common commercial petroleum inventories increased by 4.0 million barrels. Today, due to the increase in oil prices, the Fed's decision yesterday to continue their earlier rate easing of monetary policy to the labor market recovery.
Brent Oil (ICE) in morning electronic trading before the opening of Europe at 108.33 (+0.44%), and U.S. crude oil WTI (ICE) 86.19 (+0.53%).
Gold futures morning at 1,713.40 (+0.69%), quotes of copper at
358.30 (+0.42%).
Commodity Index CRB Index for the previous trading day was 297.69 (-0.73%).
 
In the currency market, there is a weakening of the U.S. dollar against the major currencies except the yen against the Fed. Yen continues to fall against the dollar for the reasons of the course the Bank of Japan to further injection of liquidity into the market.
Futures on the dollar index, which reflects the value of the U.S. currency against a trade-weighted basket of currencies, is 79.89 (-0.16%).
    
Prediction of the day:
EURUSD pair is testing the 1.3000 level and if it consolidates above it, there is a possibility of its local growth from 1.3065. As for the Dollar Yen, it is likely to further strengthen to the maximum values ​​the end of June 80.60.
 
Events today:
Moscow time
12.00 Eurozone M3 money supply in September n / a; 3,0% y / y, 2.9% y / y
12.00 Eurozone private sector lending in September n / a; -0,4% y / y, -0.6% y / y
12.30 UK Preliminary data on GDP growth 3 kv.2012 n / a; 0,6% q / q, -0.4% q / q
12.30 UK PMI services sector in August n / a; 0,5% 3m/3m, 0.1% 3m/3m
14.15 Great Presentations by the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England Tucker
Basic index of 16.30 U.S. orders for durable goods in September n / a; 0,8% m / m, -1.6% m / m
16.30 The number of U.S. claims for unemployment benefits for the week October 14-20 n / a; 366,000; 388,000
16.30 U.S. orders for durable goods in September n / a; 6,9% m / m, -13.2% y / y
18.00 Outstanding U.S. home sales in September n / a; 2,4% m / m, -2.6% m / m
18:30 U.S. natural gas reserves for the week October 14-20 n / a; n / a; 51 billion cubic meters. ft
 
Sergei Kostenko
 

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EUR / USD
 
News background:
Pair renewed consolidation within 1.2870-1.3130 range. The main reason for this is to wait for the results of the elections in the United States, as well as decisions on monetary policy and the Fed.
 
Technical picture:
From a technical point of view, ...
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EUR / USD
 
News background:
Pair renewed consolidation within 1.2870-1.3130 range. The main reason for this is to wait for the results of the elections in the United States, as well as decisions on monetary policy and the Fed.
 
Technical picture:
From a technical point of view, the price is in the lower Bollinger below EMA 5, 21, but still above the SMA 100 and 200. Pair has the potential to reduce the level of local 1.2940 in the short term, as the level of 1.3015 overcome.
Indicators Stoch. points to the possibility of continuing to reduce vapors and RSI gives a signal to sell the pair.
 
 
Trading recommendations. Sell ​​to a local couple to 1.2940.
 
Technical analyst at Forex Bulygina Marina.

Analytical department of Grand Capital

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Markets are waiting for the results of the Fed meeting
 
European stock markets were closed on Monday in the red zone, pending the results of presidential elections in the United States and the Federal Reserve meeting on monetary policy. Presidential elections will be held in the United States ...
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Markets are waiting for the results of the Fed meeting
 
European stock markets were closed on Monday in the red zone, pending the results of presidential elections in the United States and the Federal Reserve meeting on monetary policy. Presidential elections will be held in the United States on November 6 and in anticipation of this event, market participants tend not to take risks.
Index DJ EURO STOXX BANK up to previous trading closed at 109.17 (+0.13%). Shares of ING Group NV, Deutsche Bank and UniCredit added from 0.40% to 1.67%.
 
Major European indexes at the close of the previous trading session: FTSE 100 - 5,882.91 (-0.22%); DAX 30 - 7,328.05 (-0.71%); CAC 40 - 3,483.25 (-0.61%). Futures on the DJ STOXX 50 in the morning prior to the opening of trading in Europe is 2,532.00 (+0.24%). Trading in Europe opened in the green zone.
 
European index of "blue chips" FTSEurofirst 300, closed on Monday at 1,107.42 (-0.40%).
 
Before the opening of the European session US yield on 10-year T-Note is 1.80% (+0.038 NCP), the 10-year German Government Bonds is 1.62% (-0.004 NCP), and the 10-year UK Government Bonds is 1.90% (+0.023 NCP).
 
Oil futures in the morning before the opening of the European trading session, moving in different directions after yesterday's decline amid profit taking, pending the results of the U.S. elections.
Brent Oil (ICE) in morning electronic trading before the opening of Europe at 109.28 (-0.15%), and U.S. crude oil WTI (ICE) 88.72 (+0.08%).
Gold futures morning at 1,724.50 (-0.10%), quotes of copper at
361.20 (-0.28%).
Commodity Index CRB Index for the previous trading day was 303.51 (-0.83%).
 
Foreign exchange market is waiting for the actual results of the meeting on monetary policy the Fed, and the presidential election in the United States.
Futures on the dollar index, which reflects the value of the U.S. currency against a trade-weighted basket of currencies, is 79.72 (-0.02%).
    
Prediction of the day:
It seems that today in the foreign exchange market will continue a period of consolidation in anticipation of the Fed meeting and Friday's release of the U.S. GDP.
 
Events today:
Moscow time
12.30 UK mortgage approvals in September n / a; 30,900; 30,500
16.30 Canada Basic index of retail sales in August n / a; 0,2% m / m, 0.4% y / y
16.30 Canada retail sales in August n / a; 0,4% m / m, 0.7% y / y
17.00 Canada Decision of the Bank of Canada Interest Rate n / a; 1,00%; 1,00%
18.00 Eurozone consumer confidence in September n / a; -26; -26
18.00 U.S. index of business activity in the manufacturing sector from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond in October n / a; 3, 4
21.00 Great Speech by the Bank of England Mervyn King
 
Sergei Kostenko
 

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The players expect the GDP data of the USA
 
An important outcome of the EU summit was the decision to create a single banking Supervisory authority for the Eurozone. 
It starts to act from the next year, and the main role will be played by the ECB, as ...
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The players expect the GDP data of the USA
 
An important outcome of the EU summit was the decision to create a single banking Supervisory authority for the Eurozone. 
It starts to act from the next year, and the main role will be played by the ECB, as a single body of control over more than 6 000 European banks. First of all, he will supervise the banks that received financial assistance from the state. Thanks to this decision, the ECB will be able to directly inject liquidity in the affected banks, which will alleviate any negative trends.
 
But markets still show little reaction to the Fed's decision on monetary policy and the release of the GDP for the third quarter. This Friday, there are data on U.S. GDP, which could have an impact on local markets. This is especially important before the U.S. elections. If the GDP data will be weak, it may again affect investor sentiment and to short-term impact on the market growth of the dollar.
 
Meanwhile, the foreign exchange market lull absence of important statistics today does not allow players to take any serious decisions.
 
Events today:
Moscow time
21.30 of the members of the U.S. FOMC Sandra Pianalto
 

Sergei Kostenko

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The EU summit did't encouraged investors
 
European shares closed on Friday with a lower on weak statements of U.S. companies General Electric and McDonald's, as well as the fact that the EU summit did not address the question of Greece, and Spain.
Index DJ EURO STOXX BANK up ...
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The EU summit did't encouraged investors
 
European shares closed on Friday with a lower on weak statements of U.S. companies General Electric and McDonald's, as well as the fact that the EU summit did not address the question of Greece, and Spain.
Index DJ EURO STOXX BANK up to previous trading closed at 109.03 (-3.08%). Shares of Spanish bank BBVA, Bco De Sabadell and Banco Popular have fallen from 3.04% to 5.27%.
 
Major European indexes at the close of the previous trading session: FTSE 100 - 13,343.51 (-1.52%); DAX 30 - 1,433.19 (-1.66%); CAC 40 - 3,005.62 (-2.19%). Futures on the DJ STOXX 50 in the morning prior to the opening of trading in Europe is 2,536.00 (+0.08%). Trading in Europe will open neutral.
 
European index of "blue chips" FTSEurofirst 300, closed on Friday at 1,111.85 (-0.78%).
 
Before the opening of the European session US yield on 10-year T-Note is 1.78% (+0.020 NCP), the 10-year German Government Bonds is 1.59% (-0.002 NCP), and the 10-year UK Government Bonds is 1.88% (-0.033 NCP).
 
Oil futures morning before the opening of the European trading session after failing to grow on Friday due to weak corporate statements of U.S. companies and on this background before fixing the profits.
Brent Oil (ICE) in morning electronic trading before the opening of Europe at 110.68 (+0.49%), and U.S. crude oil WTI (ICE) 90.89 (+0.50%).
Gold futures morning at 1,725.20 (+0.07%), quotes of copper at
364.95 (+0.33%).
Commodity Index CRB Index for the previous trading day was 306.05 (-0.87%).
 
In the foreign exchange market began a slight weakening of the dollar against major currencies except the yen, which has strengthened its decline against the background of economy minister Seiji Maehara, who said that "the country needs more measures easing of monetary policy and efforts to stimulate growth." Expectation of a further easing of monetary policy the Bank of Japan put pressure on the yen.
Futures on the dollar index, which reflects the value of the U.S. currency against a trade-weighted basket of currencies, is 79.57 (-0.15%).
    
Prediction of the day:
It can be assumed that if the EURUSD pair will overcome the level of 1.3060, it will grow to the level of 1.3130 after. If it does not, then the pair may fall to the level of 1.2940-50.
 
Events today:
Moscow time
21.30 of the members of the U.S. FOMC Sandra Pianalto
 
Sergei Kostenko
 

*Recommendations listed in this article, can not be used as a base for the direct actions.

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GBP / USD
 
News background:
Pair gets a boost with the news from Europe, and if the current statistics from the UK won't be disappointed, and the minutes of the meeting of the Bank of England will confirm the immutability of the present course, it can support the ...
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GBP / USD
 
News background:
Pair gets a boost with the news from Europe, and if the current statistics from the UK won't be disappointed, and the minutes of the meeting of the Bank of England will confirm the immutability of the present course, it can support the pound and contribute to its local capacity to the level of a local maximum of 1.6215 if 1.6150 level will be overcome.
 
Technical picture:
From a technical point of view, the price is at the upper border of the Bollinger Bands, MA 5 and above MA 21 and MA 100 and 200. Price went up almost to the line resistance short-term downtrend. Overcoming the 1.6150 level and fixing it up on the statistics from the UK, can lead to local growth pair, despite the overbought Stoch. This indicator RSI still leaves the possibility of extending the short-term growth of the pair.
 
 
Trading recommendations. Buy a pair after its attachment above 1.6150 to 1.6215 with a local.
 
Technical analyst at Forex Bulygina Marina.

Analytical department of Grand Capital

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Moody `s support markets ...
 
The decision of the rating Agency Moody's confirm short-term credit rating of Spain at the level of "Baa3" it turned out that is called in hand, against the background of the European summit of the EU, as well as the end of the presidential ...
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Moody `s support markets ...
 
The decision of the rating Agency Moody's confirm short-term credit rating of Spain at the level of "Baa3" it turned out that is called in hand, against the background of the European summit of the EU, as well as the end of the presidential race in the United States. Despite the abscence of logic of this act (earlier in August, the agency argued that the Spanish market expects "garbage" level) the rating agency is still at the same level.
 
In a statement Moody `s said that" the combination of support for the euro area and the ECB and the Spanish government's own efforts will allow the government to maintain access to the capital markets at reasonable rates, giving him the necessary time to stabilize the government debt in the next few years. " (Reuters)
 
It seems that the agency decided "not to spoil" picture improvement with Spain, especially, according to the agency, it will resort to financial assistance in November.
 
Yesterday's European events quite radically, coupled with good corporate information of U.S. major companies influenced the growing optimism in the markets.
For this reason, the single currency came out of a period of consolidation and reached maximum values ​​of 18 September this year.
 
Improvement in economic sentiment in Germany also contributed to the reduction of tension in the markets. The index of economic sentiment in Germany came out better than expected -11.5 points against the expected value - 15.0 points. And despite the fact that the values ​​of this index is still in positive territory, suggesting a tendency already, compared with the previous - 18.2 points value of the indicator.
 
Today we should pay attention to the statistics from the UK and the U.S.. If it is positive it will have a local pressure on the U.S. dollar.
 
Events today:
Moscow time
12.30 UK Changing the number of applications for unemployment benefits in September n / a; -200; -15.000
12.30 Publication of the minutes of the UK Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England
12.30 UK unemployment rate in August n / a; 8,1%; 8,1%
12.30 UK The change of the average wage in August n / a; 1,6% 3m / y and 1.5% 3m / y
13.00 Switzerland ZEW economic expectations index in September n / a; n / a; -34,9
16.30 U.S. The number of building permits issued in September n / a; 810.000; 800.000
16.30 U.S. Bookmark new homes in September n / a; 770.000; 750.000
18:30 U.S. Change oil 08.10-14.10 n / a; n / a; 1,7 million barrels.
 

Sergei Kostenko

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Moody's has raised the investors mood...
 
European shares closed Tuesday on a report good growth from rating agency Moody `s, it confirms that a short-term credit rating of Spain's Prime-3. This report, as well as approval of the agency, that Spain is the EU summit will ask financial ...
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Moody's has raised the investors mood...
 
European shares closed Tuesday on a report good growth from rating agency Moody `s, it confirms that a short-term credit rating of Spain's Prime-3. This report, as well as approval of the agency, that Spain is the EU summit will ask financial help, reassure investors and boosted risk appetite in financial markets. An additional positive factor was evidence of an increase in industrial production in the United States above a certain level. For this reason, the leaders of growth were the stocks of the European banking sector.
Index DJ EURO STOXX BANK up to previous trading closed at 105.23 (+1.02%). Shares of Deutsche Bank, BBVA and Lloyds soared from 5.06% to 6.05%.
 
Major European indexes at the close of the previous trading session: FTSE 100 - 5,870.54 (+1.12%); DAX 30 - 7,376.27 (+1.58%); CAC 40 - 3,500.94 (+2.36%). Futures on the DJ STOXX 50 in the morning prior to the opening of trading in Europe is 2,548.00 (+0.24%). Trading in Europe will open growth of the major stock indexes.
 
European index of "blue chips" FTSEurofirst 300, closed on Monday at 1,113.14 (+1.35%).
 
Before the opening of the European session US yield on 10-year T-Note is 1.73% (+0.015 NCP), the 10-year German Government Bonds is 1.57% (+0.047 NCP), and the 10-year UK Government Bonds is 1.82% (+0.061 NCP).
 
Oil futures morning before the opening of the European trading session are growing in line with the pre-election situation in the United States. Quotes of oil also supports statistics released on the eve of the U.S. and strong statements Johnson & Johnson, Goldman Sachs and other big banks and companies.
Brent Oil (ICE) in morning electronic trading before the opening of Europe at 114.17 (+0.15%), and U.S. crude oil WTI (ICE) 92.38 (+0.31%).
Gold futures morning at 1,752.80 (+0.37%), quotes of copper at
371.00 (+0.27%).
Commodity Index CRB Index for the previous trading day was 306.20 (+0.54%).
 
In the currency market, the dollar remains under pressure against major currencies amid yesterday's solutions agency Moody `s leave Spain's credit rating unchanged, along with statements that it has formally requested financial help reassure investors and market optimism returned nor its members.
Futures on the dollar index, which reflects the value of the U.S. currency against a trade-weighted basket of currencies, is 79.25 (-0.28%).
    
Prediction of the day:
EURUSD pair has a good chance to catch up to the level of 1.3185.
 
Events today:
Moscow time
12.30 UK Changing the number of applications for unemployment benefits in September n / a; -200; -15.000
12.30 Publication of the minutes of the UK Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England
12.30 UK unemployment rate in August n / a; 8,1%; 8,1%
12.30 UK The change of the average wage in August n / a; 1,6% 3m / y and 1.5% 3m / y
13.00 Switzerland ZEW economic expectations index in September n / a; n / a; -34,9
16.30 U.S. The number of building permits issued in September n / a; 810.000; 800.000
16.30 U.S. Bookmark new homes in September n / a; 770.000; 750.000
18:30 U.S. Change oil 08.10-14.10 n / a; n / a; 1,7 million barrels.
 
Sergei Kostenko
 

*Recommendations listed in this article, can not be used as a base for the direct actions.

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Markets recovered on the eve of the European summit...
 
European stock markets were closed on Monday on a positive note amid reports that Spain formally ask financial aid at the EU summit, which begins on October 18, and in the hopes that the corporate reporting season did not disappoint ...
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Markets recovered on the eve of the European summit...
 
European stock markets were closed on Monday on a positive note amid reports that Spain formally ask financial aid at the EU summit, which begins on October 18, and in the hopes that the corporate reporting season did not disappoint and will be generally good. Among the leading companies in the shares of the banks, but under pressure from bottom-oil prices were paper mining companies - Rio Tinto and Anglo American, which fell respectively 1.60% and 1.97%.
Index DJ EURO STOXX BANK up to previous trading closed at 105.23 (+1.02%). Shares of ING Group NV, Societe General and Barclays rose from 1.54% to 2.00%.
 
Major European indexes at the close of the previous trading session: FTSE 100 - 5,805.61 (+0.21%); DAX 30 - 7,261.25 (+0.40%); CAC 40 - 3,420.28 (+0.92%). Futures on the DJ STOXX 50 in the morning prior to the opening of trading in Europe is 2,498.00 (+0.73%). Trading in Europe will open growth of the major stock indexes.
 
European index of "blue chips" FTSEurofirst 300, closed on Thursday at 1,098.36 (+0.46%).
 
Before the opening of the European session US yield on 10-year T-Note is 1.67% (+0.010 NCP), the 10-year German Government Bonds is 1.49% (+0.022 NCP), and the 10-year UK Government Bonds is 1.76% (+0.038 NCP).
 
Oil futures morning before the opening of the European trading session, grow, continuing to consolidate ahead of the European summit of EU and the U.S. presidential election. An additional good stimulus to growth were yesterday's retail sales data in the U.S., which grew by 1.1% in September compared to August value.
Brent Oil (ICE) in morning electronic trading before the opening of Europe at 116.17 (+0.32%), and U.S. crude oil WTI (ICE) 92.13 (+0.30%).
Gold futures morning at 1,740.60 (+0.17%), quotes of copper at
371.75 (+0.43%).
Commodity Index CRB Index for the previous trading day was 304.55 (-0.65%).
 
In the currency market continues to consolidate pending the outcome of the European summit, as well as the U.S. elections. Yesterday's news that the Spanish authorities have asked for financial assistance to the EU summit inspired the investors and contributed to the weakening of the U.S. dollar against the major currencies except the yen.
Futures on the dollar index, which reflects the value of the U.S. currency against a trade-weighted basket of currencies, is 79.65 (-0.18%).
    
Prediction of the day:
EUR/USD pair continues to form a triangle shape and it is likely today to reach the upper limit of the figure - the level of 1.3015.
 
Events today:
Moscow time
12.30 UK Consumer Price Index in September n / a; 2,2% y / y, 2.5% y / y
12.30 UK Producer Price Index in September n / a; 0,0% m / m and 2.0% m / m
12.30 UK Retail Price Index in September n / a; 2,6% y / y, 2.9% y / y
12.30 UK Core CPI September n / a; 2,1% y / y, 2.1% y / y
12.30 UK house price index for August n / a; 1,9% y / y and 2.0% y / y
12.30 UK Producer Price Index in September n / a; 0,3% m / m and 0.5% m / m
13.00 Germany ZEW index of economic sentiment in October n / a; -14,6; -18,2
13.00 Eurozone consumer prices in September n / a; 2,7% y / y, 2.7% y / y
13.00 Eurozone core consumer price index in September n / a; 1,6% y / y and 1.5% y / y
13.00 Eurozone ZEW index of economic sentiment in October n / a; -1,1 -3,8
13.00 Eurozone trade balance to a seasonally adjusted August n / a; 8,4 billion euros, 7.9 billion euros
16.30 Canada Foreign purchases of securities in August n / a; 8,72 billion dollars, 6.67 billion
Canada 16.30 Change in volume production deliveries in August n / a; 0,5% m / m, -1.5% m / m
16.30 U.S. core consumer price index in September n / a; 0,2% m / m and 0.1% m / m
16.30 U.S. Consumer Price Index in September n / a; 0,4% m / m and 0.6% m / m
17.00 U.S. net purchases of long-term securities in August n / a; 45,3 billion dollars, 67.08 billion
17.15 U.S. Capacity Utilization September n / a; 78,4%; 78,2%
17.15 U.S. The Industrial Production September n / a; 0,3% m / m, -1.2% m / m
18.00 U.S. Housing Market Index from October NAHB n / a; 41, 40
 
Sergei Kostenko
 

*Recommendations listed in this article, can not be used as a base for the direct actions.

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The market continues to consolidate
 
Financial markets continue to move in a fairly narrow range, but still not getting clear signals. Lethargy in the markets is defined by the absence of bright and noticeable change for the better in the euro zone, the weak U.S. economic recovery, as ...
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The market continues to consolidate
 
Financial markets continue to move in a fairly narrow range, but still not getting clear signals. Lethargy in the markets is defined by the absence of bright and noticeable change for the better in the euro zone, the weak U.S. economic recovery, as well as a slowdown in economic growth in China. In addition, the markets do not see the incentive to uneven corporate reporting companies. And above it all "hang" the U.S. presidential election, in which there is still a big affair.
 
In the currency market, and all without any changes. Consolidation period, which began in September, is continuing. Announced Fed stimulus program QE3, while the market did not bring a significant amount of money. And besides, it continues to be severely criticized by colleagues Bernanke on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which said that the decision was a failure and did not bring anything useful in the real economy.
 
We can say that the activity in the markets will be significantly lower, and only, in our view, it is possible after the elections in the United States to see significant movement.
 
Events today:
Moscow time
11.15 Switzerland PPI September n / a; 0,3% m / m and 0.5% m / m
16.00 U.S. President's speech the New York Fed U.Dadli
16.30 U.S. retail sales excluding auto sales in September n / a; 0,6% m / m and 0.8% m / m
16.30 U.S. retail sales in September n / a; 0,7% m / m and 0.9% m / m
16.30 U.S. index of business activity in the industry FBI in New York in October n / a; -4,5; -10,4
18.00 U.S. stocks in volume of business in August n / a; 0,5% m / m and 0.8% m / m
18.30 The report of the Bank of Canada, Canada's economic conditions and business prospects
20.45 U.S. President's speech Richmond Fed Dzh.Lekera
23.20 Presentation Canada Governor of the Bank of Canada M.Karni
 
Sergei Kostenko
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